Turkey's 78.8 million citizens provide a large and growing market, well complemented by its geostrategic location. During 2001-2011, Turkey’s GDP grew at a CAGR of 4%, worth $763 billion at current price in 2011. Over the next five years, Lucintel estimates the Turkish economy will grow to $1,226 billion at current price by 2017 with a 13.2% CAGR.
Lucintel, a leading global management consulting and market research firm, has analyzed Turkey's political, economic, social environment and business risk and presents its findings in “Turkey Country Analysis 2012-2017: An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic and Business Risk.”
The Turkish economy has its own share of problems as it witnessed higher inflation in 2011 due to the depreciation of Turkish Lira, high import prices, and increasing food prices. Moreover, decreasing exports because of the ongoing Euro crisis is expected to have a negative growth impact in the coming years.
Yet, Turkey which is enriched in such natural resources as iron ores, coal, nuclear, hydro power, etc. is an attractive country for FDI. The prudent economic and developmental policies made by its stable government has accelerated growth and blended this economy into the globalized world. In Turkey, fresh incentives are being provided to promote FDI with the intent of increasing its international competitiveness through innovation and technological development. Turkey has a favorable dependency ratio by having enough working age population to support older population in coming years. The government is focused on increasing research and development expenditure.
This Lucintel research report provides insights into the country overview, turkey's economic performance, and a detail risk analysis of political, social, economic and business aspects. This research study is designed and intended for use by new entrants, manufacturers, OEMs, investors, executives, and consultants focused on the market of Turkey. The data and analysis found in this report can be utilized for a variety of functional business reasons, including: Business Development, Strategic Planning, Determination of Market Size and Trends, Competitive Analysis, Investment Decisions, and Joint Product Development.
This unique report from Lucintel will provide you with valuable information, insights and tools needed to identify new growth opportunities and operate your business successfully in this market. Turkey country analysis report will save hundreds of hours of your own personal research time and will significantly benefit you in expanding your business in this market. In today’s stringent economy, you need every advantage that you can find.
Features of This Report:
To make business, investment, and strategic decisions, you need timely, useful information. Turkey country analysis market report fulfills this core need and is an indispensable reference guide for multinational materials suppliers, product manufacturers, investors, executives, distributors, and many more that operate in this market.
Some of the features of this report:
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Trend and forecast for key macroeconomic variables that are useful to make major investment decision.
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Analysis on economic activity, Government debt, investment environment, and trade structure of the country
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In depth political, social, economic and business risk analysis of the country that may have impact on different industries.
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Risk analysis associated with availability of labor, aging population, wage rates, industry policy, business environment, etc.
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More than 27 figures/charts and eight tables are provided in this roughly 60 page report.
Benefits of a Lucintel Report:
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Lucintel’s core competency is in market research and management consulting. In the last 14 years, Lucintel has worked on hundreds of market research studies. Lucintel’s risk reports offer the following benefits:
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Enhance your global growth strategy with key economic and potential industry analysis
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Enhance your risk management using the report's economic, social and business risk analysis.
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Fine tune your business expansion planning with understanding of domestic demand analysis and demographics structure analysis.
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Reduce the investment risk by knowing the analysis of sovereign debt risk, exchange risk, availability of labor and risk associated with country’s policies.
1. Executive Summary
2. Country Overview
3. Turkey's Economic Performance
3.1. Sectoral Contribution to GDP and GDP Growth Rate
3.2. Consumption, Saving, and Investment Trends
3.3. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) by Industry
4. Political and Social Risk Analysis of Turkey
4.1. Structure and Stability of Government
4.2. Government Policy Agenda
4.2.1. Policy Agenda
4.2.2. Internal Security Risk
4.3. Risk in International Relations
4.4. Social Risk Analysis
4.4.1. Social Development Index: Risk Analysis
4.4.2. Labor Market
5. Economic Risk of Turkey
5.1. Pricing Trends - Inflation and Interest Rates
5.2. Risk in Financial Sector
5.2.1. Risk in Current Account Balance
5.2.2. Risk in Balance of Payment (BOP)
5.2.3. Risk in Fiscal Balance
5.3. Risk in External Sector
5.3.1. International Trade and Its Contribution to GDP
5.3.2. Risk in Foreign Exchange Reserves and Exchange Rate
5.3.3. External Debt and Default Risk
5.3.4. Economic Factors Impact on Business
6. Business Risk of Turkey
6.1. Business Risk
6.2. Doing Business in Turkey 2012
6.3. Credit Rating of Countries
6.4. R&D Expenditure and Technological Risk
6.5. Business Risk factors and its Impact
List of Figures
List of Tables
Abbreviation and Technical Units
Disclaimer
Copyright
About Us
List of Figures
Chapter 2. Country Snapshot / Overview
Figure 2.1: Geographical location of Turkey
Chapter 3. Turkey’s Economic Performance
Figure 3.1: Trend of real GDP growth rate
Figure 3.2: Forecast of real GDP growth rate
Figure 3.3: GDP sectoral contribution
Figure 3.4: Share of different sectors to GDP
Figure 3.5: Quarterly trend of growth for GDP and IIP
Figure 3.6: Trend of consumption expenditure as percentage of GDP
Figure 3.7: Trend of savings and investments as percentage of GDP
Figure 3.8: Foreign direct investment by industry
Chapter 4. Political and Social Risk Analysis of Turkey
Figure 4.1: Trend of population and population growth rate
Figure 4.2: Population age structure
Figure 4.3: Trend of per capita income
Figure 4.4: Trend and forecast of working age population
Figure 4.5: Trend of corruption perception index of Turkey
Figure 4.6: Trend of unemployment rate in Turkey
Chapter 5. Economic Risk of Turkey
Figure 5.1: Annual trend of inflation and interest rate
Figure 5.2: Trend of current account balance and share in GDP
Figure 5.3: Trend of balance of payment
Figure 5.4: Trend of fiscal deficit and revenue deficit as Percent of GDP
Figure 5.5 Trend of budget deficit as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.6: Turkey’s international trade structure
Figure 5.7: Exports as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.8: Trend of foreign exchange reserves and exchange rate
Figure 5.9: Trend of debt as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.10: Trend of gross government debt position of Turkey
Figure 5.11: Mixed prospects of debts in Turkey
Chapter 6. Business Risk of Turkey
Figure 6.1: Trend of R&D expenditure in Turkey
List of Tables
Chapter 2. Country Snapshot/ Overview
Table 2.1: Demographic and political overview
Chapter 4. Turkey Political and Social Risk
Table 4.1: Homicide rate of Turkey
Table 4.2: GINI index of Turkey
Table 4.3: Corruption perception index
Chapter 6. Business Risk of Turkey
Table 6.1: FDI limits by industry
Table 6.2: Indicators for starting business
Table 6.3: Ranking in 2011 for procedures of starting a business
Table 6.4: Credit rating of countries by Moody, Fitch and S&P
Lucintel has been closely tracking and conducting research on and for the composites and other segments since 1998. This research project was designed for the purposes of determining the evaluation of political, social, economic and business risk opportunities in Turkey. In order to ensure fairness with our analysis, we compared several factors in order to align the current performance and, more importantly, the future prospects.
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This study is a culmination of 7 months of full-time effort performed by Lucintel's analyst team. Our analysts used the following sources for the creation and completion of this valuable report:
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Regression analysis of GDP of Turkey economy and major Industries.
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In-depth secondary research from financial statements and annual reports of the Turkey National Bank
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Extensive search of current published literature, market and database information including industry news, company press releases, and customer intentions.
A compilation of the experiences, judgments, and insights of Lucintel's professional network, who have analyzed and tracked the composites marketplace for a decade.
Lucintel collects a significant amount of uninterpreted data from a variety of sources and converts this into intelligent data as follows. The intelligent data is used by our clients for making confident business decisions.
To learn the scope of, benefits and other details of this report,
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