Kazakhstan Country Analysis 2013-2018: An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic, and Business Risk,

Kazakhstan’s economy, which has been on a high growth trajectory during the past 10 years, is expected to continue that momentum to reach an estimated $365 billion at current prices in 2018. Strong growth in demand, increase in investments, and oil exports are expected to propel the Kazakhstani economy over the next five yea

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Lucintel, a leading global management consulting and market research firm, has conducted a competitive analysis on the industry and presents its findings in “Kazakhstan Country Analysis 2013-2018: An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic, and Business Risk.” As indicated in the study, Kazakhstan has all the ingredients of becoming an economic force on the global stage. The country has sound macroeconomic fundamentals such as low inflation and current account surpluses. Foreign exchange reserves continue to shield the economy from external pressures.

Kazakhstan has ninth-largest oil reserves in world and is the 20th-largest country in terms of oil production. The country is rich in natural resources and is the world’s second-largest in uranium, chromium, lead, and zinc reserves. The country has a favorable geostrategic location in the heart of Eurasia. Transcontinental routes that connect the Asia Pacific region with the Middle East and Europe pass through Kazakhstan. The government has initiated various reform processes that may further improve country’s credit rating.

Lucintel report also indicates emerging risk in country that could negatively affect the economic growth for a longer period. Some of the emerging risks include the country’s high trade dependency on European countries and high crime rate. The economic turmoil in the European countries could influence the exports of Kazakhstan affecting the economic growth.

The study of Kazakhstan is the major focus of the report. This study provides a concise overview of the risk analysis for doing business in Kazakhstan. This report studies the political, economic, social, technological, and business risk analysis of the country. The report presents annual trends of economic and social parameters for the past 10 years and forecasts of GDP and population for the next six years.

This unique report from Lucintel will provide you with valuable information, insights, and tools needed to identify new growth opportunities and operate your business successfully in this market. Kazakhstan country analysis report will save hundreds of hours of your own personal research time and will significantly benefit you in expanding your business in this market. In today’s stringent economy, you need every advantage that you can find.

To make business, investment, and strategic decisions, you need timely, useful information. Kazakhstan country analysis market report fulfills this core need and is an indispensable reference guide for multinational materials suppliers, product manufacturers, investors, executives, distributors, and many more that operate in this market.

Some of the features of this report:

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Table of Contents

Chapter 1. Executive Summary
    
Chapter 2. Country Overview    

Chapter 3. Kazakhstan Economic Performance    
3.1: Sectoral contribution to GDP and GDP Growth Rate    
3.2: Consumption, saving, and investment trends    
3.3: Foreign direct investment (FDI) by industry    

Chapter 4. Political and Social Risk Analysis of Kazakhstan    
4.1: Structure and stability of government    
4.2: Government policy agenda    
4.2.1: Policy agenda    
4.3: Risk in international relations    
4.4: Social risk analysis    
4.4.1: Social development index: risk analysis    
4.4.2: Labor market    

Chapter 5. Economic Risk of Kazakhstan    
5.1: Risk in financial sector    
5.1.1: Risk in fiscal balance    
5.1.2: Risk in current account balance    
5.1.3: Risk in balance of payment (BOP)    
5.2: Risk in external sector    
5.2.1: External debt and default risk    
5.2.2: International trade and its contribution to GDP    
5.2.3: Risk in foreign exchange reserves and exchange rate    
5.3: Risk in real sector    
5.4: Economic factors impact on business
    
Chapter 6. Business Risk of Kazakhstan    
6.1: Business risk    
6.2: Doing business in Kazakhstan in 2013    
6.3: Credit rating of countries    
6.4: R&D expenditure and technological risk    
6.5: Business risk factors and its impact
    
Chapter 7. Emerging Risk in Kazakhstan    
Figure 7.1 Kazakhstan’s export by region 

List of Figures

Chapter 2. Country Snapshot/Overview
Figure 2.1: Geographical location of Kazakhstan

Chapter 3. Kazakhstan Economic Performance
Figure 3.1: Trend of real GDP growth rate
Figure 3.2: Forecast of real GDP growth rate
Figure 3.3: GDP Sectoral Contribution
Figure 3.4: Share of different sectors in GDP
Figure 3.5: Trend of GDP growth rate and IIP
Figure 3.6: Trend of consumption expenditure as percentage of GDP
Figure 3.7: Trend of savings and investments as percentage of GDP
Figure 3.8: Foreign direct investment by industry

Chapter 4. Political and Social Risk Analysis of Kazakhstan
Figure 4.1: Trend of population and population growth rate
Figure 4.2: Population age structure by 2018
Figure 4.3: Trend of per capita income
Figure 4.4: Trend of corruption perception index of Kazakhstan
Figure 4.5: Trend of unemployment rate in Kazakhstan

Chapter 5. Economic Risk of Kazakhstan
Figure 5.1: Global financial stability scenario
Figure 5.2: Trend of fiscal deficit and revenue deficit as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.3: Trend of budget deficit as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.4: Trend of current account balance and share in GDP
Figure 5.5: Terms of trade for Kazakhstan
Figure 5.6: Trend of balance of payment    
Figure 5.7: Trend of gross government debt as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.8: Trend of gross government debt position of Kazakhstan
Figure 5.9: Mixed prospects of debts in Kazakhstan
Figure 5.10: Trend of Kazakhstan international trade
Figure 5.11: Trend of exports and imports as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.12: Trend of foreign exchange reserves and exchange rate
Figure 5.13: Quarterly trend of inflation and interest rates
Figure 5.14: Annual Trend of Inflation and Interest Rates

Chapter 6. Business Risk of Kazakhstan
Figure 6.1: Trend of R&D expenditure in Kazakhstan

Chapter 7. Emerging Risk in Kazakhstan
Figure 7.1 Kazakhstan’s export by region


List of Tables

Chapter 2. Country Snapshot/Overview
Table 2.1: Demographic and political overview

Chapter 4. Political and Social Risk Analysis of Kazakhstan
Table 4.1: Homicide rate of Kazakhstan
Table 4.2: GINI index of Kazakhstan
Table 4.3: Corruption perception index

Chapter 5. Economic Risk of Kazakhstan
Table 5.1: Economic Factors Impact on Business

Chapter 6. Business Risk of Kazakhstan
Table 6.1: FDI limits by industry
Table 6.2: Indicators for starting business
Table 6.3: Ranking of procedures for starting up a business
Table 6.4: Credit rating of countries by Moody, Fitch, and S&P
Table 6.5: Business risk factors and its impact
 

Lucintel has been closely tracking and conducting research on and for the composites, since 1998. Lucintel has also forayed in economics and other verticals such as industry analysis and company profiles. This research project was designed for the purposes of determining the evaluation of political, social, economic, and business risk opportunities in Austria. In order to ensure fairness with our analysis, we compared several factors to align the current performance and, more importantly, the future prospects.
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This study is a culmination of seven months of full-time effort by Lucintel's analyst team. Our analysts used the following sources for the creation and completion of this valuable report:

•    Regression analysis of GDP of Kazakhstan’s economy and major industries
•    In-depth secondary research from financial statements and annual reports of the Kazakhstan national Bank
•    Extensive search of current published literature, market, and database information including industry news, company press releases, and customer intentions
•    A compilation of the experiences, judgments, and insights of Lucintel's professional network, who have analyzed and tracked the economic marketplace for a decade

Lucintel collects a significant amount of uninterpreted data from a variety of sources and converts this into intelligent data as follows. The intelligent data is used by our clients for making confident business decisions.